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Valeo
Martin Haub, R&D vice-president
Individual mobility will survive, but there will be more integration between
public and private transport. We’ll see more cars squeezed out of
the cities through congestion penalties like in London or just by default
like in Paris. I think cities will be more and more taboo for cars. You
might have the trend that people will consciously buy smaller cars because
most only need a big car for certain occasions and normally they drive
with just one or two people in the car. Bigger cars could be rented or
pooled for a few occasions.
China will be the trendsetter for electric driving. It already has the
biggest manufacturing capacity for batteries because it has millions of
electric bicycles.
In 2018 we’ll still have internal combustion engines, but there
will be a much broader mix of propulsion systems than today.
Fuel cells will start to make an impact in the mass market. Some people
think that it will be earlier. 2020 is normally where we start to expect
to see large numbers in the mass market, but the question of where the
primary energy will come from is still a question.
Perhaps we’ll see the removal of side mirrors, replacing them with
camera systems, to improve aerodynamics. By 2020 we could have some autonomous
driving on specific lanes on motorways.
Next... Vocis
Index
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January 2008
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