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The winds of time

May 2004

By Dean Slavnich  

Much has been said in the past few years about simulation and physical testing, and there are many theories to subscribe to depending on which side of the fence one sits.

What is for certain, however, is that the momentum is now with CAD/CAM and CFD. The pendulum is swinging and the only question that now remains is to how far it will go in favour of computing power and software codes. Can the wind tunnel really be eradicated?

“In some areas potentially this trend [of simulation replacing wind tunnels] can and is already happening,” comments Riaz Sanatian, automotive industry sector manager, CD adapco Group. “In the automotive industry, for example, things like the cooling block of an engine have already gone to virtual prototyping and simulation and this has almost replaced experiments because the testing of this type is complex, very difficult and expensive.”

Yet it would seem that the battle for domination amongst the two camps in the testing world is far from over. The people backing wind tunnels and real world testing will not lie down.

Sanatian continues: “Only time will tell when it comes to other things like external aerodynamics. At the moment, many flow simulations are done [for external aerodynamics] but there are still a lot of wind tunnel tests conducted as well.

“The major issue for us in those areas is modelling things like turbulence since we are not simulating absolute reality on the model of reality. There are models that are coming along which should take into account the random nature of turbulence, like larger dissimulation, but these require huge computing power and far more orders of magnitude than what we have.”

For the immediate future at least, wind tunnels are assured to continue to play a vital role in the development of the vehicle. It is when one casts an eye further into the future that one envisages potential problems for real world testing, something that Sanatian hints at.

He says: “I would say that, at the rate we are going with increased processing power, yes, simulation will take over. When you say will virtual prototyping ever replace real world experience, well, of course we will. It won’t happen in the next five years, and over the next 10 years I can only say maybe, but when you say will we ever replace wind tunnels, then I have to say yes.”

Sanatian is quick to look to the past in order to support his theories on the future role of simulation and wind tunnels in the automotive industry. “The progress and usability of software like ours very much depends on the computer technology. I don’t think any of us could have guessed 15 years ago that the performance of computers today would be so powerful.”

He continues: “The thing is, we’re not talking about one or two orders of magnitude, we’re talking about four orders of magnitude.

“Fifteen years ago we were running calculations which involved 30,000 points – and that was considered to be really big and large. Today we consider for 30 million points to be reasonably large, not very large. So we’ve gone from 30,000 to 30 million, that’s three orders of magnitude we’ve jumped.

“I would guess easily that it’s moving more rapidly, so I’d say that in 10 years we’ll be solving simulations of the order of hundreds of millions.”

The trust factor

Yet despite computing power fuelling the advances made in CAD/CAM and CFD, carmakers continue to come back to real-world testing and wind tunnels, something that Sanatian acknowledges.

“This issue is still around but less so than before,” he says. “Ten years ago everybody used to question simulation.”

One recent study highlighted that each of the 17 major wind tunnels in Europe provided different drag data on the same car, with the results differing by anything up to 8 per cent plus or minus to the next result.

Sanatian continues: “There is the issue that experiments can have errors as well, but traditionally we’ve been doing experiments for thousands of years, and so we are confident with this process. CFD have been around for 15 years and only in the last 10 years has it been used extensively for industrial applications. So the idea of reliability is becoming more and more accepted.

“People always feel more confident when they’ve been doing something for a very long time. The difference now is instead of spending 2,000 hours in the wind tunnel, the engineer now does some simulation and spends 200 hours in the wind tunnel. You can clear most of the silly designs in simulation and then go and fine tune one or two designs in the wind tunnel. There is a place for the two to work together CDF is not here to replace the wind tunnel.” Try telling a wind tunnel engineer that.

Staying ahead of the game

The CD adapco Group is now firmly looking ahead into the next decade to not only keep up to pace with the rapid acceleration of computing power, but to also build on its role as a key player in the simulation industry.

Its flagship product – used by the likes of GM, Ford and DaimlerChrysler – continues to evolve. “What we’ve been doing over the past few years is looking at more than just the solver engine,” explains Sanatian.

“We’ve put a great deal of effort into providing tools and capabilities for the system to be better integrated into a CAD/CAM and CAD environment with better links to CAD systems for importing geometry and more automation for setting up the models and meshing.”

Yet the group refuses to sit on its laurels. The company has, for the past few years, been secretly working on a new generation of codes called Computational Continuum Mechanics (CCM+).

Sanatian continues: “That will hopefully take us into the next decade and keep us ahead of the game. All the CAD integration will continue and become even more integrated, while on the engine and solver, there are designs to utilise better the massively parallel processing capabilities available.”

Already CCM+ has been used in the automotive industry, with one key carmaker giving Sanatian positive feedback on the new generation of codes. “The feedback on the user interface, and the way it interacts with parallel computing, has been positive. It’s only been out for a month, but all the initial signs are good.”

Despite a global downturn, the CD adapco Group – says Sanatian – enjoyed a healthy 12 months last year. He explains: “For us it was a reasonably good year, it was a tough one, but we still showed growth and did extremely well in Europe and we continue to do externally well in Japan and the Far East.

“In the US, it’s been tough, but we’ve kept our own. We didn’t grow too much but we didn’t shrink either. There are clear signs now that things are definitely picking up in Japan and the US.”

 







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